Real Clear Politics has a column today from a lawyer from Newton, Mass. who believes that John McCain could win enough independents in the Bay State to claim its 12 electoral votes. The key excerpt:
“Can a Republican presidential candidate win in Massachusetts? The answer seems to be yes, as John McCain appeals more strongly to the state’s independent ‘majority’ than his likely Democratic opponent Barack Obama. At the very least, the contest will be tight and Massachusetts voters will get to experience up close a competitive presidential campaign for the first time in 24 years.”
I think this is a fairly absurd analysis. If McCain wins Massachusetts, then the only state he’ll lose is Illinois or New York, depending on who Democrats nominate.
I’m seeing a lot of freewheeling electoral map analysis these days, with would-be pundits predicting such far-flung scenarios as Obama winning Mississippi, Clinton taking Tennessee and McCain turning Taxachusetts red.
I’m a big believer that the electoral map is a purple mosaic that is always shifting. But McCain winning in the state of Smith College, Ted Kennedy and same-sex marriage? Get real.