Could Lieberman Deliver Connecticut to the GOP?

Joe Lieberman (?-CT) has been spending plenty of time with John McCain lately, and now we get word from Ben Smith that’s he hosting conference calls with reporters bashing Barack Obama on Iran.  “Senator Obama argued today that American foreign policy in recent years has essentially sort of strengthened Iran…  and I disagree with that,” said Lieberman.

So assuming that he continues to play a prominent role in the McCain campaign, and possibly is even tapped as a running mate, could Lieberman put Connecticut in play?

I doubt it, but consider some numbers: Chris Healy at The Everyday Republican is trumpeting a Rasmussen Reports poll released on Tuesday that finds Obama taking 47% in the Nutmeg State to McCain’s 44%.  “We have always felt that Sen. McCain’s positions and personal story and long record of being a maverick would play well in our state,” writes Healy. “The numbers indicate that, and they are even more amazing considering how the Democrats have dominated the news for the last two months.”

Politico‘s Jonathan Martin also noted in his March article “Maverick wants to paint blue states red” that McCain has his eyes on the state that has elected two third-party candidate to statewide office in recent years (Lieberman and Lowell Weicker).

The chances are slim for McCain in Connecticut.  But considering all the time he’ll be spending in New Hampshire, isn’t it worth the occasional day trip down the Connecticut River, if only to make things interesting?

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2 responses to “Could Lieberman Deliver Connecticut to the GOP?

  1. While I’d like to see the internals of the poll, this is probably nothing more than an outlier. Obama will have no problem carrying Connecticut by more than 10 points. Right now, his only problem will be to convince white voters (especially the Italians) in working class suburbs like East Haven and West Haven (both are about 50% Italian-Americans) to vote for a black man. There is a very distinct but under-reported racial separation in both the New Haven and Hartford areas that the working class suburbs are now inheriting from the inner city areas. Once Obama is able to introduce himself to these voters, he should not have much problem winning their support. Still, even if he splits or loses these areas, the wealthy and educated voters and rural voters combined with the city vote is enough to give him a big margin in the state.

    Besides, since he never seems to go to work and never, ever seems to come home, Lieberman is so unpopular right now that McCain would have a better chance winning Connecticut if he publicly denounced Joe.

  2. Obama will keep CT easily. What should have his campaign nervous is whether or not he can hold onto Michigan, let alone taking Ohio.

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