As we expected, Hillary Clinton racked up huge margins of victory in Appalachian Kentucky and along the Ohio River Valley, and Barack Obama won the urban center of Louisville and the college town of Lexington.
Kentucky Electoral Map (New York Times)
In Oregon, a state that the Politico declared was “tailor-made” for Obama, the Illinois senator beat Clinton by tens of thousands of votes in key counties like Multnomah (Portland) and suburban Washington on his way to a statewide 17-point rout. Clinton, for her part, won most of eastern Oregon’s 2nd District, but in counties like Harney in the southeast, that only amounted to a paltry 365 votes.
Oregon Electoral Map (New York Times)
Posted in Barack Obama, Democrats, Hillary Clinton, Kentucky, Oregon
Tagged Barack Obama, Democrats, Electoral Map, Hillary Clinton, Kentucky, Oregon, Politics
Ann Althouse notes some botched geography from Barack Obama and gives him a quick lesson. According to the Lexington Herald-Leader, this is what the Illinois senator has to say about his likely loss in the Bluegrass State:
“‘What it says is that I’m not very well known in that part of the country,’ Obama said. ‘Sen. Clinton, I think, is much better known, coming from a nearby state of Arkansas. So it’s not surprising that she would have an advantage in some of those states in the middle.'”
Of course as all of you geography nuts know, Illinois is no further from Kentucky than a ferry ride across the Ohio River. Althouse, for one, knows this. Citing an email for a reader, she notes:
“1) “Last time I checked, Illinois was more ‘nearby’ Kentucky than Arkansas. Heck, they even touch.’ 2) ‘[I]sn’t there something a tad condescending in his reference to ‘some of those states in the middle’?”
The “condescending” reference is tired politics, but I agree with point #1 that Obama should relearn his geography — starting with Appalachia.
The Electoral Map would like to introduce a new feature called the Weekly Compass. It’ll include stories relating to the electoral map that aren’t big enough for a lengthy post, but are still important or interesting.
What do you think? Is this informative or does it dilute the point of this blog?
- Joel Kotkin explains why family-friendly cities like Houston, Dallas or Charlotte are growing faster than “young urban single professional” towns like Baltimore, Newark or Memphis
“Married people with children tend to be both successful and motivated, precisely the people who make economies go. They are twice as likely to be in the top 20% of income earners, according to the Census, and their incomes have been rising considerably faster than the national average.”
“With my beloved Red Sox the World champs again this year, it’s funny watching so many politicians trying to become citizens of Red Sox Nation.”
- Reid Wilson (a fellow ex-Hotliner) sits down with the “Human Alamanac” a.k.a. Charles Mathesian, editor of the vital Almanac of American Politics. Excerpted from Mathesian:
“What’s important about 2006 is that Democrats have finally broken out of their demographic straight jacket, in terms of the districts that they now possess.
“[Going in 2006, Democrats] didn’t hold as many suburban districts as they once held. They didn’t hold as many rural districts. They didn’t hold very many Southern districts. As a result of 2006, they’ve really broken through and that’s going to be a tremendous advantage to the party as it shapes its message going forward.”
- Greg Lemon at NewWest interviews Bob Brown, a former Montana Secretary of State and guru of Big Sky and Western demographics. Excerpted from Brown:
“Since the Rocky Mountain West is hard to define as a region, issues which are important politically throughout the region are not easy to identify. Public lands management, rural communication systems and health services, stewardship of water, forests and rangelands, energy development and tribal sovereignty are all issues that are important in different parts of the West, but likely to be easily overshadowed by the ‘hot button’ themes that will characterize both campaigns nationally.”
- John Judis at The New Republic trumpets blue trends in the Bluegrass State.
“The GOP’s grip on Kentucky began to loosen in 2004. Bush carried the state, but, according to exit polls, 40 percent of those who voted for him did so because they disliked John Kerry. In the Senate race that year, Republican Jim Bunning barely won reelection by two points against a little-known state senator. Then, two years later, Democrat John Yarmuth, the editor of an alternative Louisville newsweekly and, by his own description, an ‘unabashed liberal,’ upset five-term Representative Anne Northup. Democrats have also outpaced Republicans in new party registrants, adding 128,392 members from June 2005 to October 2007 while the GOP gained just 97,871. And, this week, in addition to reclaiming the governorship, Democrats scored landslide victories in statewide races for attorney general, treasurer, and auditor.”
Posted in Demographics, Kentucky, Montana, South, Sports, West
Tagged Demographics, Electoral Map, Kentucky, Montana, South, Sports, West
VIRGINIA — Democrats won four state Senate seats and four state House seats. The new Senate balanced is 21 Democrats, 19 Republicans. In the House, it’s 54 Republicans, 44 Democrats and 2 Independents.
I wrote in 2006 that the state Senate race between incumbent Jeanmarrie Devolites Davis (R) and former Del. Chap Peterson (D) would measure whether Republicans were losing in NoVA because of their candidates or their party. I reasoned that if a Davis couldn’t win in Fairfax, then the GOP would likely loose the county for a generation.
Last night, Devolites Davis lost to Peterson 55-45%. What does this say about Republican Rep. Tom Davis‘ prospects?
For more on this pivotal race, read “Figuring Out Fairfax.” The accompaning map is below.
In other close races, it looks like state Sen. Ken Cuccinelli (R) defeated Democratic challenger Janet Oleszek by less than 100 votes.
More statewide roundup:
Now, on to the maps. The first is of state Senate district 34, outline in bright green. The second and third are the Washington Post results maps.
KENTUCKY and MISSISSIPPI — And finally, let’s not forget there were a governors races in Kentucky and Mississippi on Tuesday, too. In the Bluegrass State, former Lt. Gov. Donald Beshear (D) carried 75% of all counties defeated Gov. Ernie Fletcher (R) by a healthy 59-41%. A Kentucky results map is below: